BMY 37 15 MAR 52 Market Value

110122DW5   79.67  4.95  6.62%   
110122DW5's market value is the price at which a share of 110122DW5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BMY 37 15 MAR 52 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BMY 37 15 MAR 52 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 110122DW5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 110122DW5 Correlation, 110122DW5 Volatility and 110122DW5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 110122DW5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 110122DW5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 110122DW5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 110122DW5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

110122DW5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 110122DW5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 110122DW5.
0.00
01/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 9 months and 28 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 110122DW5 on January 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BMY 37 15 MAR 52 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 110122DW5 over 300 days. 110122DW5 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

110122DW5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 110122DW5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BMY 37 15 MAR 52 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

110122DW5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 110122DW5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 110122DW5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 110122DW5 historical prices to predict the future 110122DW5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.4479.6780.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.6866.9187.64
Details

BMY 37 15 Backtested Returns

At this point, 110122DW5 is very steady. BMY 37 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0336, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0336% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for BMY 37 15 MAR 52, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 110122DW5's Semi Deviation of 2.63, mean deviation of 1.69, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0313 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0414%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 110122DW5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 110122DW5 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

BMY 37 15 MAR 52 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 110122DW5 time series from 31st of January 2024 to 29th of June 2024 and 29th of June 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BMY 37 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current 110122DW5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.48

BMY 37 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 110122DW5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 110122DW5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 110122DW5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 110122DW5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

110122DW5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 110122DW5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 110122DW5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 110122DW5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

110122DW5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 110122DW5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 110122DW5 bond have on its future price. 110122DW5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 110122DW5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 110122DW5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BMY 37 15 MAR 52.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 110122DW5 Bond

110122DW5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 110122DW5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 110122DW5 with respect to the benefits of owning 110122DW5 security.