US15135BAY74 Market Value

15135BAY7   85.51  5.19  5.72%   
15135BAY7's market value is the price at which a share of 15135BAY7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US15135BAY74 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US15135BAY74 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 15135BAY7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 15135BAY7 Correlation, 15135BAY7 Volatility and 15135BAY7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 15135BAY7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 15135BAY7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 15135BAY7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 15135BAY7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

15135BAY7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 15135BAY7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 15135BAY7.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 15135BAY7 on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US15135BAY74 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 15135BAY7 over 30 days. 15135BAY7 is related to or competes with Kenon Holdings, NRG Energy, HNI Corp, Repligen, GE Vernova, Western Midstream, and Femasys. More

15135BAY7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 15135BAY7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US15135BAY74 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

15135BAY7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 15135BAY7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 15135BAY7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 15135BAY7 historical prices to predict the future 15135BAY7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.7585.5186.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.9686.6287.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.1786.9387.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.9087.4890.06
Details

US15135BAY74 Backtested Returns

US15135BAY74 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which signifies that the bond had a -0.15% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 15135BAY7 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 15135BAY7's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,051), risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Variance of 3.92 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 15135BAY7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 15135BAY7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

US15135BAY74 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 15135BAY7 time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US15135BAY74 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current 15135BAY7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

US15135BAY74 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 15135BAY7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 15135BAY7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 15135BAY7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 15135BAY7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

15135BAY7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 15135BAY7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 15135BAY7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 15135BAY7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

15135BAY7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 15135BAY7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 15135BAY7 bond have on its future price. 15135BAY7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 15135BAY7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 15135BAY7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US15135BAY74.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 15135BAY7 Bond

15135BAY7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 15135BAY7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 15135BAY7 with respect to the benefits of owning 15135BAY7 security.