CHARTER MUNICATIONS OPERATING Market Value

161175BX1   76.74  3.02  3.79%   
CHARTER's market value is the price at which a share of CHARTER trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CHARTER MUNICATIONS OPERATING investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CHARTER MUNICATIONS OPERATING and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CHARTER over a given investment horizon.
Check out CHARTER Correlation, CHARTER Volatility and CHARTER Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CHARTER.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CHARTER's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CHARTER is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CHARTER's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CHARTER 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CHARTER's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CHARTER.
0.00
11/30/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CHARTER on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CHARTER MUNICATIONS OPERATING or generate 0.0% return on investment in CHARTER over 360 days. CHARTER is related to or competes with Bel Fuse, NL Industries, Plexus Corp, Analog Devices, Emerson Radio, Amkor Technology, and Flex. More

CHARTER Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CHARTER's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CHARTER MUNICATIONS OPERATING upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CHARTER Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CHARTER's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CHARTER's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CHARTER historical prices to predict the future CHARTER's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.1476.7477.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.0075.6084.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.9774.5775.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
72.6476.0979.54
Details

CHARTER MUNICATIONS Backtested Returns

CHARTER MUNICATIONS retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CHARTER exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CHARTER's variance of 1.07, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (4.42) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0174, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, CHARTER's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CHARTER is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.55  

Good reverse predictability

CHARTER MUNICATIONS OPERATING has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CHARTER time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CHARTER MUNICATIONS price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current CHARTER price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.84

CHARTER MUNICATIONS lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CHARTER bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CHARTER's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CHARTER returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CHARTER has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CHARTER regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CHARTER bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CHARTER bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CHARTER bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CHARTER Lagged Returns

When evaluating CHARTER's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CHARTER bond have on its future price. CHARTER autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CHARTER autocorrelation shows the relationship between CHARTER bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CHARTER MUNICATIONS OPERATING.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CHARTER Bond

CHARTER financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHARTER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHARTER with respect to the benefits of owning CHARTER security.