US18539UAD72 Market Value
| 18539UAD7 | 93.36 0.13 0.14% |
| Symbol | 18539UAD7 |
18539UAD7 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 18539UAD7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 18539UAD7.
| 10/16/2024 |
| 01/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 18539UAD7 on October 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US18539UAD72 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 18539UAD7 over 450 days. 18539UAD7 is related to or competes with China Life, Ategrity Specialty, Agriculture Natural, Construction Partners, White Mountains, Reinsurance Group, and Fidelis Insurance. More
18539UAD7 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 18539UAD7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US18539UAD72 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.2192 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.37 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.55 |
18539UAD7 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 18539UAD7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 18539UAD7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 18539UAD7 historical prices to predict the future 18539UAD7's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1029 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0286 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0064 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7846 |
US18539UAD72 Backtested Returns
US18539UAD72 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.1, which signifies that the bond had a -0.1 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 18539UAD7 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 18539UAD7's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1029, downside deviation of 0.2192, and Standard Deviation of 0.2529 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0403, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 18539UAD7's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 18539UAD7 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.11 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
US18539UAD72 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 18539UAD7 time series from 16th of October 2024 to 29th of May 2025 and 29th of May 2025 to 9th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US18539UAD72 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current 18539UAD7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.02 |
US18539UAD72 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 18539UAD7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 18539UAD7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 18539UAD7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 18539UAD7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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18539UAD7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 18539UAD7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 18539UAD7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 18539UAD7 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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18539UAD7 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 18539UAD7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 18539UAD7 bond have on its future price. 18539UAD7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 18539UAD7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 18539UAD7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US18539UAD72.
Regressed Prices |
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Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 18539UAD7 Bond
18539UAD7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 18539UAD7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 18539UAD7 with respect to the benefits of owning 18539UAD7 security.