CMA 5625 Market Value

200340AU1   96.76  3.16  3.16%   
200340AU1's market value is the price at which a share of 200340AU1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CMA 5625 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CMA 5625 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 200340AU1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 200340AU1 Correlation, 200340AU1 Volatility and 200340AU1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 200340AU1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 200340AU1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 200340AU1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 200340AU1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

200340AU1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 200340AU1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 200340AU1.
0.00
02/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 27 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 200340AU1 on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CMA 5625 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 200340AU1 over 270 days. 200340AU1 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

200340AU1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 200340AU1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CMA 5625 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

200340AU1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 200340AU1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 200340AU1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 200340AU1 historical prices to predict the future 200340AU1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.0896.7697.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.3378.01106.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.6995.3796.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.8192.14109.46
Details

200340AU1 Backtested Returns

200340AU1 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0215, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0215% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 200340AU1 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 200340AU1's Standard Deviation of 6.18, market risk adjusted performance of 0.3871, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4197.41 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.36, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 200340AU1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 200340AU1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

CMA 5625 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 200340AU1 time series from 29th of February 2024 to 13th of July 2024 and 13th of July 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 200340AU1 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current 200340AU1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.53

200340AU1 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 200340AU1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 200340AU1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 200340AU1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 200340AU1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

200340AU1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 200340AU1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 200340AU1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 200340AU1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

200340AU1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 200340AU1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 200340AU1 bond have on its future price. 200340AU1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 200340AU1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 200340AU1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CMA 5625.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 200340AU1 Bond

200340AU1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 200340AU1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 200340AU1 with respect to the benefits of owning 200340AU1 security.