CMS 36 15 AUG 32 Market Value

210518DP8   90.15  3.00  3.22%   
210518DP8's market value is the price at which a share of 210518DP8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CMS 36 15 AUG 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CMS 36 15 AUG 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 210518DP8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 210518DP8 Correlation, 210518DP8 Volatility and 210518DP8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 210518DP8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 210518DP8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 210518DP8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 210518DP8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

210518DP8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 210518DP8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 210518DP8.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 210518DP8 on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CMS 36 15 AUG 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 210518DP8 over 30 days. 210518DP8 is related to or competes with Starbucks, Cheesecake Factory, Getty Realty, National Vision, Bt Brands, Gap,, and Shake Shack. More

210518DP8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 210518DP8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CMS 36 15 AUG 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

210518DP8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 210518DP8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 210518DP8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 210518DP8 historical prices to predict the future 210518DP8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.8990.1591.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.6775.9399.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.2290.4891.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.0590.4094.74
Details

CMS 36 15 Backtested Returns

CMS 36 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0555, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0555% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CMS 36 15 AUG 32 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 210518DP8's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0203, mean deviation of 0.9981, and Downside Deviation of 1.7 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 210518DP8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 210518DP8 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

CMS 36 15 AUG 32 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 210518DP8 time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CMS 36 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current 210518DP8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.9

CMS 36 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 210518DP8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 210518DP8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 210518DP8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 210518DP8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

210518DP8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 210518DP8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 210518DP8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 210518DP8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

210518DP8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 210518DP8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 210518DP8 bond have on its future price. 210518DP8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 210518DP8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 210518DP8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CMS 36 15 AUG 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 210518DP8 Bond

210518DP8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 210518DP8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 210518DP8 with respect to the benefits of owning 210518DP8 security.