ACAFP 4375 17 MAR 25 Market Value

225313AF2   98.24  1.44  1.44%   
ACAFP's market value is the price at which a share of ACAFP trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ACAFP 4375 17 MAR 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ACAFP 4375 17 MAR 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ACAFP over a given investment horizon.
Check out ACAFP Correlation, ACAFP Volatility and ACAFP Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ACAFP.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ACAFP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ACAFP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ACAFP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ACAFP 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ACAFP's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ACAFP.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ACAFP on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ACAFP 4375 17 MAR 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in ACAFP over 30 days. ACAFP is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

ACAFP Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ACAFP's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ACAFP 4375 17 MAR 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ACAFP Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ACAFP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ACAFP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ACAFP historical prices to predict the future ACAFP's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.9498.2498.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.1593.45108.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.1997.4897.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.9497.9999.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ACAFP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ACAFP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ACAFP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ACAFP 4375 17.

ACAFP 4375 17 Backtested Returns

ACAFP 4375 17 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ACAFP exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ACAFP's market risk adjusted performance of 0.8518, and Variance of 0.1501 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0163, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ACAFP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ACAFP is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.82  

Excellent reverse predictability

ACAFP 4375 17 MAR 25 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ACAFP time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ACAFP 4375 17 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current ACAFP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.82
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.05

ACAFP 4375 17 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ACAFP bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ACAFP's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ACAFP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ACAFP has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ACAFP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ACAFP bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ACAFP bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ACAFP bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ACAFP Lagged Returns

When evaluating ACAFP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ACAFP bond have on its future price. ACAFP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ACAFP autocorrelation shows the relationship between ACAFP bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ACAFP 4375 17 MAR 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ACAFP Bond

ACAFP financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACAFP Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACAFP with respect to the benefits of owning ACAFP security.