CREDIT SUISSE FIRST Market Value

22541LAE3   111.11  2.39  2.11%   
CREDIT's market value is the price at which a share of CREDIT trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CREDIT SUISSE FIRST investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CREDIT SUISSE FIRST and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CREDIT over a given investment horizon.
Check out CREDIT Correlation, CREDIT Volatility and CREDIT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CREDIT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CREDIT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CREDIT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CREDIT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CREDIT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CREDIT's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CREDIT.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CREDIT on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CREDIT SUISSE FIRST or generate 0.0% return on investment in CREDIT over 30 days. CREDIT is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, American Express, Chevron Corp, Cisco Systems, Verizon Communications, and Merck. More

CREDIT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CREDIT's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CREDIT SUISSE FIRST upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CREDIT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CREDIT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CREDIT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CREDIT historical prices to predict the future CREDIT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.38111.11111.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.3992.12122.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.24107.97108.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.17106.56115.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CREDIT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CREDIT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CREDIT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CREDIT SUISSE FIRST.

CREDIT SUISSE FIRST Backtested Returns

CREDIT SUISSE FIRST secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0672, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0672% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CREDIT SUISSE FIRST exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CREDIT's Standard Deviation of 2.04, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 0.9531 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.43, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CREDIT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CREDIT is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

CREDIT SUISSE FIRST has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CREDIT time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CREDIT SUISSE FIRST price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current CREDIT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.37

CREDIT SUISSE FIRST lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CREDIT bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CREDIT's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CREDIT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CREDIT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CREDIT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CREDIT bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CREDIT bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CREDIT bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CREDIT Lagged Returns

When evaluating CREDIT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CREDIT bond have on its future price. CREDIT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CREDIT autocorrelation shows the relationship between CREDIT bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CREDIT SUISSE FIRST.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CREDIT Bond

CREDIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether CREDIT Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CREDIT with respect to the benefits of owning CREDIT security.