DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC Market Value

25470DAD1   97.06  0.56  0.57%   
DISCOVERY's market value is the price at which a share of DISCOVERY trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in DISCOVERY over a given investment horizon.
Check out DISCOVERY Correlation, DISCOVERY Volatility and DISCOVERY Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on DISCOVERY.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between DISCOVERY's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DISCOVERY is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DISCOVERY's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

DISCOVERY 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to DISCOVERY's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of DISCOVERY.
0.00
06/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in DISCOVERY on June 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in DISCOVERY over 180 days. DISCOVERY is related to or competes with AKITA Drilling, RLX Technology, Awilco Drilling, Boston Beer, Delek Drilling, Compania Cervecerias, and Scandinavian Tobacco. More

DISCOVERY Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure DISCOVERY's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

DISCOVERY Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for DISCOVERY's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as DISCOVERY's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use DISCOVERY historical prices to predict the future DISCOVERY's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.4689.8991.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.3781.8098.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.9390.3691.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.5898.91124.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DISCOVERY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DISCOVERY's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DISCOVERY's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC.

DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC Backtested Returns

DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0666, which denotes the bond had a -0.0666% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm DISCOVERY's Downside Deviation of 5.13, market risk adjusted performance of 1.18, and Mean Deviation of 1.96 to check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0551, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, DISCOVERY's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding DISCOVERY is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between DISCOVERY time series from 2nd of June 2024 to 31st of August 2024 and 31st of August 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current DISCOVERY price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.23

DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is DISCOVERY bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting DISCOVERY's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of DISCOVERY returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that DISCOVERY has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

DISCOVERY regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If DISCOVERY bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if DISCOVERY bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in DISCOVERY bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

DISCOVERY Lagged Returns

When evaluating DISCOVERY's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of DISCOVERY bond have on its future price. DISCOVERY autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, DISCOVERY autocorrelation shows the relationship between DISCOVERY bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DISCOVERY MUNICATIONS LLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in DISCOVERY Bond

DISCOVERY financial ratios help investors to determine whether DISCOVERY Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DISCOVERY with respect to the benefits of owning DISCOVERY security.