DOW CHEMICAL PANY Market Value

260543DC4   81.08  4.41  5.16%   
260543DC4's market value is the price at which a share of 260543DC4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DOW CHEMICAL PANY investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DOW CHEMICAL PANY and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 260543DC4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 260543DC4 Correlation, 260543DC4 Volatility and 260543DC4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 260543DC4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 260543DC4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 260543DC4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 260543DC4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

260543DC4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 260543DC4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 260543DC4.
0.00
06/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 260543DC4 on June 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DOW CHEMICAL PANY or generate 0.0% return on investment in 260543DC4 over 180 days. 260543DC4 is related to or competes with Iridium Communications, BCE, Getty Images, Ameriprise Financial, Franklin Credit, WiMi Hologram, and Logan Ridge. More

260543DC4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 260543DC4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DOW CHEMICAL PANY upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

260543DC4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 260543DC4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 260543DC4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 260543DC4 historical prices to predict the future 260543DC4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.3481.0881.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.9783.1383.87
Details

DOW CHEMICAL PANY Backtested Returns

DOW CHEMICAL PANY secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the bond had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. DOW CHEMICAL PANY exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 260543DC4's Mean Deviation of 0.3398, standard deviation of 0.5517, and Variance of 0.3044 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0545, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 260543DC4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 260543DC4 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.91  

Near perfect reversele predictability

DOW CHEMICAL PANY has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 260543DC4 time series from 1st of June 2024 to 30th of August 2024 and 30th of August 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DOW CHEMICAL PANY price movement. The serial correlation of -0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current 260543DC4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.91
Spearman Rank Test-0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.05

DOW CHEMICAL PANY lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 260543DC4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 260543DC4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 260543DC4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 260543DC4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

260543DC4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 260543DC4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 260543DC4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 260543DC4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

260543DC4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 260543DC4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 260543DC4 bond have on its future price. 260543DC4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 260543DC4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 260543DC4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DOW CHEMICAL PANY.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 260543DC4 Bond

260543DC4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 260543DC4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 260543DC4 with respect to the benefits of owning 260543DC4 security.