DOW 69 15 MAY 53 Market Value

260543DH3   111.37  0.75  0.67%   
260543DH3's market value is the price at which a share of 260543DH3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DOW 69 15 MAY 53 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DOW 69 15 MAY 53 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 260543DH3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 260543DH3 Correlation, 260543DH3 Volatility and 260543DH3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 260543DH3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 260543DH3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 260543DH3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 260543DH3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

260543DH3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 260543DH3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 260543DH3.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 260543DH3 on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DOW 69 15 MAY 53 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 260543DH3 over 720 days. 260543DH3 is related to or competes with Axalta Coating, Stepan, Chemours, Titan Machinery, Grocery Outlet, and Luxfer Holdings. More

260543DH3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 260543DH3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DOW 69 15 MAY 53 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

260543DH3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 260543DH3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 260543DH3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 260543DH3 historical prices to predict the future 260543DH3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.57111.37112.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
111.24112.03112.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
110.66111.46112.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.51112.74116.97
Details

DOW 69 15 Backtested Returns

DOW 69 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which signifies that the bond had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. DOW 69 15 MAY 53 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 260543DH3's Variance of 1.86, standard deviation of 1.36, and Mean Deviation of 0.8162 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0145, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 260543DH3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 260543DH3 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.26  

Weak reverse predictability

DOW 69 15 MAY 53 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 260543DH3 time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DOW 69 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current 260543DH3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.54

DOW 69 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 260543DH3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 260543DH3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 260543DH3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 260543DH3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

260543DH3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 260543DH3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 260543DH3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 260543DH3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

260543DH3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 260543DH3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 260543DH3 bond have on its future price. 260543DH3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 260543DH3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 260543DH3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DOW 69 15 MAY 53.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 260543DH3 Bond

260543DH3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 260543DH3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 260543DH3 with respect to the benefits of owning 260543DH3 security.