DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS Market Value
| 26442UAG9 | 96.36 0.21 0.22% |
| Symbol | 26442UAG9 |
26442UAG9 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 26442UAG9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 26442UAG9.
| 10/23/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 26442UAG9 on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS or generate 0.0% return on investment in 26442UAG9 over 30 days. 26442UAG9 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Alphabet, P10, Charles Schwab, Red Cat, and Netflix. More
26442UAG9 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 26442UAG9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6277 |
26442UAG9 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 26442UAG9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 26442UAG9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 26442UAG9 historical prices to predict the future 26442UAG9's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.56) |
DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS Backtested Returns
DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 26442UAG9's Standard Deviation of 0.645, information ratio of (0.19), and Mean Deviation of 0.333 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0108, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 26442UAG9's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 26442UAG9 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 26442UAG9 time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current 26442UAG9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.06 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.13 |
DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 26442UAG9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 26442UAG9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 26442UAG9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 26442UAG9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
26442UAG9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 26442UAG9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 26442UAG9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 26442UAG9 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
26442UAG9 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 26442UAG9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 26442UAG9 bond have on its future price. 26442UAG9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 26442UAG9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 26442UAG9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 26442UAG9 Bond
26442UAG9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 26442UAG9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 26442UAG9 with respect to the benefits of owning 26442UAG9 security.