EDVLN 5 14 OCT 26 Market Value

29261HAA3   97.26  0.24  0.25%   
EDVLN's market value is the price at which a share of EDVLN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of EDVLN 5 14 OCT 26 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of EDVLN 5 14 OCT 26 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in EDVLN over a given investment horizon.
Check out EDVLN Correlation, EDVLN Volatility and EDVLN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on EDVLN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between EDVLN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EDVLN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EDVLN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

EDVLN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EDVLN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EDVLN.
0.00
01/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 9 months and 28 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in EDVLN on January 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding EDVLN 5 14 OCT 26 or generate 0.0% return on investment in EDVLN over 300 days. EDVLN is related to or competes with Spyre Therapeutics, Lipocine, Atmos Energy, BioNTech, Apogee Therapeutics,, Aris Water, and NRG Energy. More

EDVLN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EDVLN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess EDVLN 5 14 OCT 26 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

EDVLN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EDVLN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EDVLN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EDVLN historical prices to predict the future EDVLN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.7397.2697.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.5388.06106.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.2996.8297.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.4497.2398.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EDVLN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EDVLN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EDVLN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EDVLN 5 14.

EDVLN 5 14 Backtested Returns

At this point, EDVLN is very steady. EDVLN 5 14 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.028, which denotes the bond had a 0.028% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for EDVLN 5 14 OCT 26, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm EDVLN's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.609, downside deviation of 0.9243, and Mean Deviation of 0.629 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0147%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, EDVLN's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding EDVLN is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

EDVLN 5 14 OCT 26 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EDVLN time series from 31st of January 2024 to 29th of June 2024 and 29th of June 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of EDVLN 5 14 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current EDVLN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.47

EDVLN 5 14 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is EDVLN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting EDVLN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of EDVLN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that EDVLN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

EDVLN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If EDVLN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if EDVLN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in EDVLN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

EDVLN Lagged Returns

When evaluating EDVLN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of EDVLN bond have on its future price. EDVLN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, EDVLN autocorrelation shows the relationship between EDVLN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in EDVLN 5 14 OCT 26.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in EDVLN Bond

EDVLN financial ratios help investors to determine whether EDVLN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EDVLN with respect to the benefits of owning EDVLN security.