CCDJ 205 10 FEB 25 Market Value

31429KAD5   94.68  0.00  0.00%   
31429KAD5's market value is the price at which a share of 31429KAD5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CCDJ 205 10 FEB 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CCDJ 205 10 FEB 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 31429KAD5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 31429KAD5 Correlation, 31429KAD5 Volatility and 31429KAD5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 31429KAD5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 31429KAD5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 31429KAD5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 31429KAD5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

31429KAD5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 31429KAD5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 31429KAD5.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 31429KAD5 on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CCDJ 205 10 FEB 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 31429KAD5 over 720 days. 31429KAD5 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, PayPal Holdings, IONQ, Nasdaq, Vertiv Holdings, and Microsoft. More

31429KAD5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 31429KAD5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CCDJ 205 10 FEB 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

31429KAD5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 31429KAD5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 31429KAD5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 31429KAD5 historical prices to predict the future 31429KAD5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.8394.6895.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.4282.27104.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.1091.9592.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.4097.87102.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 31429KAD5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 31429KAD5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 31429KAD5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CCDJ 205 10.

CCDJ 205 10 Backtested Returns

CCDJ 205 10 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the bond had a -0.18% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. CCDJ 205 10 FEB 25 exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 31429KAD5's Mean Deviation of 0.1841, information ratio of (0.25), and Variance of 0.4787 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 31429KAD5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 31429KAD5 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.77  

Good predictability

CCDJ 205 10 FEB 25 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 31429KAD5 time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CCDJ 205 10 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current 31429KAD5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.77
Spearman Rank Test0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.21

CCDJ 205 10 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 31429KAD5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 31429KAD5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 31429KAD5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 31429KAD5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

31429KAD5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 31429KAD5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 31429KAD5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 31429KAD5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

31429KAD5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 31429KAD5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 31429KAD5 bond have on its future price. 31429KAD5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 31429KAD5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 31429KAD5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CCDJ 205 10 FEB 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 31429KAD5 Bond

31429KAD5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 31429KAD5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 31429KAD5 with respect to the benefits of owning 31429KAD5 security.