Ford Motor Credit Market Value

345397A45   98.25  0.44  0.45%   
345397A45's market value is the price at which a share of 345397A45 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ford Motor Credit investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ford Motor Credit and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 345397A45 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 345397A45 Correlation, 345397A45 Volatility and 345397A45 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 345397A45.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 345397A45's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 345397A45 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 345397A45's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

345397A45 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 345397A45's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 345397A45.
0.00
01/08/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/07/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 345397A45 on January 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ford Motor Credit or generate 0.0% return on investment in 345397A45 over 30 days. 345397A45 is related to or competes with Western Digital, Paysafe, Vishay Intertechnology, Alto Neuroscience,, NLIGHT, Qorvo, and Teradyne. More

345397A45 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 345397A45's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ford Motor Credit upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

345397A45 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 345397A45's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 345397A45's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 345397A45 historical prices to predict the future 345397A45's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.6498.2598.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.9388.54108.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.7098.3198.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.3698.1398.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 345397A45. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 345397A45's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 345397A45's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ford Motor Credit.

Ford Motor Credit Backtested Returns

At this point, 345397A45 is very steady. Ford Motor Credit secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0159, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0159 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Ford Motor Credit, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 345397A45's Semi Deviation of 0.5616, mean deviation of 0.32, and Downside Deviation of 0.5803 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0098%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.004, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 345397A45 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 345397A45 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.09  

Virtually no predictability

Ford Motor Credit has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 345397A45 time series from 8th of January 2025 to 23rd of January 2025 and 23rd of January 2025 to 7th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ford Motor Credit price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current 345397A45 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.09
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Ford Motor Credit lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 345397A45 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 345397A45's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 345397A45 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 345397A45 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

345397A45 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 345397A45 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 345397A45 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 345397A45 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

345397A45 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 345397A45's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 345397A45 bond have on its future price. 345397A45 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 345397A45 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 345397A45 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ford Motor Credit.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 345397A45 Bond

345397A45 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 345397A45 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 345397A45 with respect to the benefits of owning 345397A45 security.