GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION Market Value

369550BL1   94.75  3.37  3.43%   
GENERAL's market value is the price at which a share of GENERAL trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION and determine expected loss or profit from investing in GENERAL over a given investment horizon.
Check out GENERAL Correlation, GENERAL Volatility and GENERAL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GENERAL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between GENERAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GENERAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GENERAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GENERAL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GENERAL's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GENERAL.
0.00
05/07/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in GENERAL on May 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION or generate 0.0% return on investment in GENERAL over 570 days. GENERAL is related to or competes with Coca Cola, JPMorgan Chase, Dupont De, Alcoa Corp, Boeing, Microsoft, and Procter Gamble. More

GENERAL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GENERAL's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

GENERAL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GENERAL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GENERAL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GENERAL historical prices to predict the future GENERAL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.4094.7595.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.2895.7296.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GENERAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GENERAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GENERAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION.

GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION Backtested Returns

GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0777, which attests that the entity had a -0.0777% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out GENERAL's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,617), market risk adjusted performance of (12.32), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The bond retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0055, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, GENERAL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GENERAL is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GENERAL time series from 7th of May 2023 to 16th of February 2024 and 16th of February 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current GENERAL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.24

GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is GENERAL bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GENERAL's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GENERAL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GENERAL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

GENERAL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GENERAL bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GENERAL bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GENERAL bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

GENERAL Lagged Returns

When evaluating GENERAL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GENERAL bond have on its future price. GENERAL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GENERAL autocorrelation shows the relationship between GENERAL bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GENERAL DYNAMICS PORATION.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in GENERAL Bond

GENERAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether GENERAL Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GENERAL with respect to the benefits of owning GENERAL security.