HSBC HLDGS PLC Market Value

404280AG4   92.84  13.21  12.46%   
404280AG4's market value is the price at which a share of 404280AG4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HSBC HLDGS PLC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HSBC HLDGS PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 404280AG4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 404280AG4 Correlation, 404280AG4 Volatility and 404280AG4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 404280AG4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 404280AG4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 404280AG4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 404280AG4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

404280AG4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 404280AG4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 404280AG4.
0.00
02/11/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 404280AG4 on February 11, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HSBC HLDGS PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in 404280AG4 over 720 days. 404280AG4 is related to or competes with Ihuman, 51Talk Online, Elite Education, Strategic Education, Vasta Platform, Thai Beverage, and Compania Cervecerias. More

404280AG4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 404280AG4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HSBC HLDGS PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

404280AG4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 404280AG4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 404280AG4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 404280AG4 historical prices to predict the future 404280AG4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.9392.8494.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.8481.75102.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.4492.3694.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.29102.88109.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 404280AG4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 404280AG4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 404280AG4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HSBC HLDGS PLC.

HSBC HLDGS PLC Backtested Returns

HSBC HLDGS PLC retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.17, which signifies that the bond had a -0.17 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 404280AG4 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 404280AG4's Coefficient Of Variation of (595.54), information ratio of (0.22), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3367 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -1.01, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning 404280AG4 are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, 404280AG4 is expected to outperform it slightly.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.06  

Very weak reverse predictability

HSBC HLDGS PLC has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 404280AG4 time series from 11th of February 2023 to 6th of February 2024 and 6th of February 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HSBC HLDGS PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current 404280AG4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.44

HSBC HLDGS PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 404280AG4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 404280AG4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 404280AG4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 404280AG4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

404280AG4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 404280AG4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 404280AG4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 404280AG4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

404280AG4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 404280AG4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 404280AG4 bond have on its future price. 404280AG4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 404280AG4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 404280AG4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HSBC HLDGS PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 404280AG4 Bond

404280AG4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 404280AG4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 404280AG4 with respect to the benefits of owning 404280AG4 security.