HSBC HLDGS PLC Market Value

404280AQ2   88.62  6.20  6.54%   
404280AQ2's market value is the price at which a share of 404280AQ2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HSBC HLDGS PLC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HSBC HLDGS PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 404280AQ2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 404280AQ2 Correlation, 404280AQ2 Volatility and 404280AQ2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 404280AQ2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 404280AQ2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 404280AQ2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 404280AQ2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

404280AQ2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 404280AQ2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 404280AQ2.
0.00
03/12/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
03/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 404280AQ2 on March 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HSBC HLDGS PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in 404280AQ2 over 720 days. 404280AQ2 is related to or competes with Corning Incorporated, Bragg Gaming, Tianjin Capital, Maanshan Iron, Nippon Steel, and Gerdau SA. More

404280AQ2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 404280AQ2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HSBC HLDGS PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

404280AQ2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 404280AQ2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 404280AQ2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 404280AQ2 historical prices to predict the future 404280AQ2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.4994.8297.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.8277.15104.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.3187.6389.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.4992.5798.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 404280AQ2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 404280AQ2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 404280AQ2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HSBC HLDGS PLC.

HSBC HLDGS PLC Backtested Returns

HSBC HLDGS PLC retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.19, which signifies that the bond had a -0.19 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 404280AQ2 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 404280AQ2's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.72, information ratio of (0.18), and Coefficient Of Variation of (523.13) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 404280AQ2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 404280AQ2 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

HSBC HLDGS PLC has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 404280AQ2 time series from 12th of March 2023 to 6th of March 2024 and 6th of March 2024 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HSBC HLDGS PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current 404280AQ2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.15
404280AQ2 Returns404280AQ2 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away404280AQ2 Returns404280AQ2 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

HSBC HLDGS PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 404280AQ2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 404280AQ2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 404280AQ2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 404280AQ2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025Mar-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

404280AQ2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 404280AQ2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 404280AQ2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 404280AQ2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025Mar8889909192939495
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

404280AQ2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 404280AQ2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 404280AQ2 bond have on its future price. 404280AQ2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 404280AQ2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 404280AQ2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HSBC HLDGS PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15AprJulOct2024AprJulOct202580859095100
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 404280AQ2 Bond

404280AQ2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 404280AQ2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 404280AQ2 with respect to the benefits of owning 404280AQ2 security.

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