HRL 305 03 JUN 51 Market Value

440452AJ9   74.76  5.75  8.33%   
440452AJ9's market value is the price at which a share of 440452AJ9 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HRL 305 03 JUN 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HRL 305 03 JUN 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 440452AJ9 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 440452AJ9 Correlation, 440452AJ9 Volatility and 440452AJ9 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 440452AJ9.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 440452AJ9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 440452AJ9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 440452AJ9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

440452AJ9 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 440452AJ9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 440452AJ9.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 440452AJ9 on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HRL 305 03 JUN 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 440452AJ9 over 30 days. 440452AJ9 is related to or competes with Yuexiu Transport, Summa Silver, TFI International, United Airlines, Verra Mobility, and Hafnia. More

440452AJ9 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 440452AJ9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HRL 305 03 JUN 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

440452AJ9 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 440452AJ9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 440452AJ9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 440452AJ9 historical prices to predict the future 440452AJ9's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.8874.7676.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.6672.5482.24
Details

HRL 305 03 Backtested Returns

At this point, 440452AJ9 is very steady. HRL 305 03 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0849, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0849% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for HRL 305 03 JUN 51, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 440452AJ9's Semi Deviation of 2.32, mean deviation of 1.55, and Standard Deviation of 3.28 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0314, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 440452AJ9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 440452AJ9 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.04  

Virtually no predictability

HRL 305 03 JUN 51 has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 440452AJ9 time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HRL 305 03 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current 440452AJ9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.04
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.19

HRL 305 03 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 440452AJ9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 440452AJ9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 440452AJ9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 440452AJ9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

440452AJ9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 440452AJ9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 440452AJ9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 440452AJ9 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

440452AJ9 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 440452AJ9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 440452AJ9 bond have on its future price. 440452AJ9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 440452AJ9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 440452AJ9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HRL 305 03 JUN 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 440452AJ9 Bond

440452AJ9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 440452AJ9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 440452AJ9 with respect to the benefits of owning 440452AJ9 security.