HUM 5875 01 MAR 33 Market Value

444859BV3   103.40  0.59  0.57%   
444859BV3's market value is the price at which a share of 444859BV3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HUM 5875 01 MAR 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HUM 5875 01 MAR 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 444859BV3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 444859BV3 Correlation, 444859BV3 Volatility and 444859BV3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 444859BV3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 444859BV3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 444859BV3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 444859BV3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

444859BV3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 444859BV3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 444859BV3.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 444859BV3 on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HUM 5875 01 MAR 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 444859BV3 over 720 days. 444859BV3 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, PayPal Holdings, IONQ, Nasdaq, Vertiv Holdings, and Microsoft. More

444859BV3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 444859BV3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HUM 5875 01 MAR 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

444859BV3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 444859BV3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 444859BV3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 444859BV3 historical prices to predict the future 444859BV3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.50103.40104.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.3399.23113.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.44104.34105.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
100.04103.34106.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 444859BV3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 444859BV3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 444859BV3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HUM 5875 01.

HUM 5875 01 Backtested Returns

At this point, 444859BV3 is very steady. HUM 5875 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0032, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0032% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for HUM 5875 01 MAR 33, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 444859BV3's Information Ratio of (0.13), mean deviation of 0.8937, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,686) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0029%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0739, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 444859BV3's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 444859BV3 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.41  

Modest reverse predictability

HUM 5875 01 MAR 33 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 444859BV3 time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HUM 5875 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current 444859BV3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.73

HUM 5875 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 444859BV3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 444859BV3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 444859BV3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 444859BV3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

444859BV3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 444859BV3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 444859BV3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 444859BV3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

444859BV3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 444859BV3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 444859BV3 bond have on its future price. 444859BV3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 444859BV3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 444859BV3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HUM 5875 01 MAR 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 444859BV3 Bond

444859BV3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 444859BV3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 444859BV3 with respect to the benefits of owning 444859BV3 security.