IBM 475 06 FEB 33 Market Value

459200KY6   97.91  1.87  1.87%   
459200KY6's market value is the price at which a share of 459200KY6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of IBM 475 06 FEB 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of IBM 475 06 FEB 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 459200KY6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 459200KY6 Correlation, 459200KY6 Volatility and 459200KY6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 459200KY6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 459200KY6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 459200KY6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 459200KY6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

459200KY6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 459200KY6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 459200KY6.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 459200KY6 on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding IBM 475 06 FEB 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 459200KY6 over 30 days. 459200KY6 is related to or competes with MYR, Jacobs Solutions, Griffon, Parker Hannifin, Neogen, Viemed Healthcare, and Sonida Senior. More

459200KY6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 459200KY6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess IBM 475 06 FEB 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

459200KY6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 459200KY6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 459200KY6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 459200KY6 historical prices to predict the future 459200KY6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.5397.9198.29
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.1299.2399.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 459200KY6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 459200KY6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 459200KY6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IBM 475 06.

IBM 475 06 Backtested Returns

IBM 475 06 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the bond had a -0.15% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. IBM 475 06 FEB 33 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 459200KY6's Mean Deviation of 0.341, coefficient of variation of (1,034), and Information Ratio of (0.35) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0092, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 459200KY6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 459200KY6 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

IBM 475 06 FEB 33 has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 459200KY6 time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of IBM 475 06 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current 459200KY6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.31

IBM 475 06 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 459200KY6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 459200KY6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 459200KY6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 459200KY6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

459200KY6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 459200KY6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 459200KY6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 459200KY6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

459200KY6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 459200KY6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 459200KY6 bond have on its future price. 459200KY6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 459200KY6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 459200KY6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in IBM 475 06 FEB 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 459200KY6 Bond

459200KY6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 459200KY6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 459200KY6 with respect to the benefits of owning 459200KY6 security.