INVESCO FIN PLC Market Value

46132FAC4   97.21  0.24  0.25%   
INVESCO's market value is the price at which a share of INVESCO trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of INVESCO FIN PLC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of INVESCO FIN PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in INVESCO over a given investment horizon.
Check out INVESCO Correlation, INVESCO Volatility and INVESCO Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on INVESCO.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between INVESCO's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if INVESCO is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, INVESCO's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

INVESCO 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to INVESCO's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of INVESCO.
0.00
01/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in INVESCO on January 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding INVESCO FIN PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in INVESCO over 690 days. INVESCO is related to or competes with Copa Holdings, Highway Holdings, Primoris Services, Park Ohio, Newpark Resources, American Airlines, and Southwest Airlines. More

INVESCO Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure INVESCO's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess INVESCO FIN PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

INVESCO Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for INVESCO's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as INVESCO's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use INVESCO historical prices to predict the future INVESCO's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.4699.71100.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.3283.57109.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.2998.5399.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.4797.46100.44
Details

INVESCO FIN PLC Backtested Returns

INVESCO FIN PLC holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0625, which attests that the entity had a -0.0625% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. INVESCO FIN PLC exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out INVESCO's risk adjusted performance of 0.0294, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4927 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The bond retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0672, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, INVESCO's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding INVESCO is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

INVESCO FIN PLC has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between INVESCO time series from 9th of January 2023 to 20th of December 2023 and 20th of December 2023 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of INVESCO FIN PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current INVESCO price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.2

INVESCO FIN PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is INVESCO bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting INVESCO's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of INVESCO returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that INVESCO has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

INVESCO regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If INVESCO bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if INVESCO bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in INVESCO bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

INVESCO Lagged Returns

When evaluating INVESCO's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of INVESCO bond have on its future price. INVESCO autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, INVESCO autocorrelation shows the relationship between INVESCO bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in INVESCO FIN PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in INVESCO Bond

INVESCO financial ratios help investors to determine whether INVESCO Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INVESCO with respect to the benefits of owning INVESCO security.