JEFFERIES GROUP INC Market Value

472319AC6   102.34  3.11  2.95%   
JEFFERIES's market value is the price at which a share of JEFFERIES trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JEFFERIES GROUP INC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JEFFERIES GROUP INC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in JEFFERIES over a given investment horizon.
Check out JEFFERIES Correlation, JEFFERIES Volatility and JEFFERIES Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on JEFFERIES.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between JEFFERIES's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JEFFERIES is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JEFFERIES's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JEFFERIES 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to JEFFERIES's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of JEFFERIES.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in JEFFERIES on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JEFFERIES GROUP INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in JEFFERIES over 30 days. JEFFERIES is related to or competes with Electrovaya Common, Papaya Growth, Air Lease, SBM Offshore, Porvair Plc, Finnair Oyj, and Mesa Air. More

JEFFERIES Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure JEFFERIES's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JEFFERIES GROUP INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

JEFFERIES Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for JEFFERIES's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as JEFFERIES's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use JEFFERIES historical prices to predict the future JEFFERIES's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.33102.34103.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.11121.94122.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JEFFERIES. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JEFFERIES's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JEFFERIES's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JEFFERIES GROUP INC.

JEFFERIES GROUP INC Backtested Returns

JEFFERIES GROUP INC holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0889, which attests that the entity had a -0.0889% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. JEFFERIES GROUP INC exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out JEFFERIES's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), market risk adjusted performance of 54.59, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,246) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The bond retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0018, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning JEFFERIES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, JEFFERIES is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

JEFFERIES GROUP INC has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between JEFFERIES time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JEFFERIES GROUP INC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current JEFFERIES price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.67

JEFFERIES GROUP INC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is JEFFERIES bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting JEFFERIES's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of JEFFERIES returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that JEFFERIES has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

JEFFERIES regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If JEFFERIES bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if JEFFERIES bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in JEFFERIES bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

JEFFERIES Lagged Returns

When evaluating JEFFERIES's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of JEFFERIES bond have on its future price. JEFFERIES autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, JEFFERIES autocorrelation shows the relationship between JEFFERIES bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JEFFERIES GROUP INC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in JEFFERIES Bond

JEFFERIES financial ratios help investors to determine whether JEFFERIES Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JEFFERIES with respect to the benefits of owning JEFFERIES security.