LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Market Value

50249AAH6   75.25  0.67  0.90%   
50249AAH6's market value is the price at which a share of 50249AAH6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 50249AAH6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 50249AAH6 Correlation, 50249AAH6 Volatility and 50249AAH6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 50249AAH6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 50249AAH6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 50249AAH6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 50249AAH6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

50249AAH6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 50249AAH6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 50249AAH6.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 50249AAH6 on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE or generate 0.0% return on investment in 50249AAH6 over 720 days. 50249AAH6 is related to or competes with Olympic Steel, Allegheny Technologies, CECO Environmental, NETGEAR, Asure Software, Perseus Mining, and Kaiser Aluminum. More

50249AAH6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 50249AAH6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

50249AAH6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 50249AAH6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 50249AAH6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 50249AAH6 historical prices to predict the future 50249AAH6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.6475.2575.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.6075.2175.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.9274.5375.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
69.8673.2476.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 50249AAH6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 50249AAH6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 50249AAH6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE.

LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Backtested Returns

LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0989, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0989% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 50249AAH6 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 50249AAH6's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), mean deviation of 0.7839, and Information Ratio of (0.12) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 50249AAH6's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 50249AAH6 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.21  

Weak reverse predictability

LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 50249AAH6 time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE price movement. The serial correlation of -0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current 50249AAH6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.21
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.2

LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 50249AAH6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 50249AAH6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 50249AAH6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 50249AAH6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

50249AAH6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 50249AAH6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 50249AAH6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 50249AAH6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

50249AAH6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 50249AAH6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 50249AAH6 bond have on its future price. 50249AAH6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 50249AAH6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 50249AAH6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 50249AAH6 Bond

50249AAH6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 50249AAH6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 50249AAH6 with respect to the benefits of owning 50249AAH6 security.