US529043AE19 Market Value

529043AE1   78.73  0.00  0.00%   
529043AE1's market value is the price at which a share of 529043AE1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US529043AE19 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US529043AE19 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 529043AE1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 529043AE1 Correlation, 529043AE1 Volatility and 529043AE1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 529043AE1.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between 529043AE1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 529043AE1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 529043AE1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

529043AE1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 529043AE1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 529043AE1.
0.00
08/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 529043AE1 on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US529043AE19 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 529043AE1 over 90 days. 529043AE1 is related to or competes with ScanSource, NETGEAR, Playtika Holding, BBB Foods, Jabil Circuit, AMCON Distributing, and SunOpta. More

529043AE1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 529043AE1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US529043AE19 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

529043AE1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 529043AE1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 529043AE1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 529043AE1 historical prices to predict the future 529043AE1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.8178.7380.65
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.7967.7186.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 529043AE1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 529043AE1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 529043AE1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US529043AE19.

US529043AE19 Backtested Returns

US529043AE19 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 529043AE1 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 529043AE1's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,299), variance of 4.07, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0404, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 529043AE1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 529043AE1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.12  

Insignificant predictability

US529043AE19 has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 529043AE1 time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US529043AE19 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current 529043AE1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.12
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.13

US529043AE19 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 529043AE1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 529043AE1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 529043AE1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 529043AE1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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529043AE1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 529043AE1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 529043AE1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 529043AE1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

529043AE1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 529043AE1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 529043AE1 bond have on its future price. 529043AE1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 529043AE1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 529043AE1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US529043AE19.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 529043AE1 Bond

529043AE1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 529043AE1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 529043AE1 with respect to the benefits of owning 529043AE1 security.