Lithia Motors 4625 Market Value

536797AE3   87.62  9.32  9.61%   
Lithia's market value is the price at which a share of Lithia trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lithia Motors 4625 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lithia Motors 4625 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lithia over a given investment horizon.
Check out Lithia Correlation, Lithia Volatility and Lithia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lithia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lithia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lithia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lithia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lithia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lithia's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lithia.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lithia on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lithia Motors 4625 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lithia over 540 days. Lithia is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Bank of America, GE Aerospace, Dupont De, International Business, and McDonalds. More

Lithia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lithia's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lithia Motors 4625 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lithia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lithia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lithia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lithia historical prices to predict the future Lithia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.2187.6289.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.9582.3696.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.7386.1487.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.0696.01101.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lithia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lithia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lithia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lithia Motors 4625.

Lithia Motors 4625 Backtested Returns

Lithia Motors 4625 has Sharpe Ratio of -0.15, which conveys that the entity had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lithia exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lithia's Standard Deviation of 2.11, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Mean Deviation of 0.7771 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.15, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Lithia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lithia is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

Lithia Motors 4625 has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lithia time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lithia Motors 4625 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Lithia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.68

Lithia Motors 4625 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lithia bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lithia's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lithia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lithia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lithia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lithia bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lithia bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lithia bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lithia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lithia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lithia bond have on its future price. Lithia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lithia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lithia bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lithia Motors 4625.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Lithia Bond

Lithia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lithia Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lithia with respect to the benefits of owning Lithia security.