MCDONALDS P MEDIUM Market Value

58013MFC3   82.64  5.92  6.68%   
58013MFC3's market value is the price at which a share of 58013MFC3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MCDONALDS P MEDIUM investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MCDONALDS P MEDIUM and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 58013MFC3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 58013MFC3 Correlation, 58013MFC3 Volatility and 58013MFC3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 58013MFC3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 58013MFC3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 58013MFC3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 58013MFC3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

58013MFC3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 58013MFC3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 58013MFC3.
0.00
12/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 58013MFC3 on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MCDONALDS P MEDIUM or generate 0.0% return on investment in 58013MFC3 over 720 days. 58013MFC3 is related to or competes with Microbot Medical, Analog Devices, Amkor Technology, KLA Tencor, Taiwan Semiconductor, Viemed Healthcare, and STMicroelectronics. More

58013MFC3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 58013MFC3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MCDONALDS P MEDIUM upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

58013MFC3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 58013MFC3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 58013MFC3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 58013MFC3 historical prices to predict the future 58013MFC3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.4482.6483.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.1873.3890.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.6383.8385.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.0486.4789.90
Details

MCDONALDS P MEDIUM Backtested Returns

MCDONALDS P MEDIUM secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0942, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0942% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. MCDONALDS P MEDIUM exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 58013MFC3's information ratio of (0.12), and Mean Deviation of 1.19 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 58013MFC3's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 58013MFC3 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

MCDONALDS P MEDIUM has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 58013MFC3 time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MCDONALDS P MEDIUM price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current 58013MFC3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.44

MCDONALDS P MEDIUM lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 58013MFC3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 58013MFC3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 58013MFC3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 58013MFC3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

58013MFC3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 58013MFC3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 58013MFC3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 58013MFC3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

58013MFC3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 58013MFC3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 58013MFC3 bond have on its future price. 58013MFC3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 58013MFC3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 58013MFC3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MCDONALDS P MEDIUM.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 58013MFC3 Bond

58013MFC3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 58013MFC3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 58013MFC3 with respect to the benefits of owning 58013MFC3 security.