NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 Market Value

62954HAV0   94.40  2.54  2.62%   
62954HAV0's market value is the price at which a share of 62954HAV0 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 62954HAV0 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 62954HAV0 Correlation, 62954HAV0 Volatility and 62954HAV0 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 62954HAV0.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 62954HAV0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 62954HAV0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 62954HAV0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

62954HAV0 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 62954HAV0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 62954HAV0.
0.00
11/30/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 62954HAV0 on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 62954HAV0 over 360 days. 62954HAV0 is related to or competes with Arrow Electronics, NioCorp Developments, Senmiao Technology, Lion One, Western Digital, Paysafe, and Summit Materials. More

62954HAV0 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 62954HAV0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

62954HAV0 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 62954HAV0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 62954HAV0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 62954HAV0 historical prices to predict the future 62954HAV0's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.0094.4094.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.9782.37103.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
92.9893.3893.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.1394.5594.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 62954HAV0. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 62954HAV0's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 62954HAV0's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NXPI 43 18.

NXPI 43 18 Backtested Returns

NXPI 43 18 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the bond had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 62954HAV0's variance of 0.1227, and Mean Deviation of 0.2036 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0602, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 62954HAV0 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 62954HAV0 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 62954HAV0 time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NXPI 43 18 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current 62954HAV0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.58

NXPI 43 18 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 62954HAV0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 62954HAV0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 62954HAV0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 62954HAV0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

62954HAV0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 62954HAV0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 62954HAV0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 62954HAV0 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

62954HAV0 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 62954HAV0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 62954HAV0 bond have on its future price. 62954HAV0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 62954HAV0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 62954HAV0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NXPI 43 18 JUN 29.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 62954HAV0 Bond

62954HAV0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 62954HAV0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 62954HAV0 with respect to the benefits of owning 62954HAV0 security.