NXPI 25 11 MAY 31 Market Value

62954HBA5   78.99  6.22  7.30%   
62954HBA5's market value is the price at which a share of 62954HBA5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NXPI 25 11 MAY 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NXPI 25 11 MAY 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 62954HBA5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 62954HBA5 Correlation, 62954HBA5 Volatility and 62954HBA5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 62954HBA5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 62954HBA5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 62954HBA5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 62954HBA5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

62954HBA5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 62954HBA5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 62954HBA5.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 25 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 62954HBA5 on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NXPI 25 11 MAY 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 62954HBA5 over 480 days. 62954HBA5 is related to or competes with Semtech, Mannatech Incorporated, NETGEAR, Bel Fuse, Analog Devices, Plexus Corp, and Skechers USA. More

62954HBA5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 62954HBA5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NXPI 25 11 MAY 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

62954HBA5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 62954HBA5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 62954HBA5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 62954HBA5 historical prices to predict the future 62954HBA5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.0278.9979.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.3068.2786.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.8477.8178.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.0981.0083.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 62954HBA5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 62954HBA5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 62954HBA5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NXPI 25 11.

NXPI 25 11 Backtested Returns

NXPI 25 11 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. NXPI 25 11 MAY 31 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 62954HBA5's variance of 0.9174, and Mean Deviation of 0.4635 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0145, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 62954HBA5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 62954HBA5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

NXPI 25 11 MAY 31 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 62954HBA5 time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NXPI 25 11 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current 62954HBA5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.5

NXPI 25 11 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 62954HBA5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 62954HBA5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 62954HBA5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 62954HBA5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

62954HBA5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 62954HBA5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 62954HBA5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 62954HBA5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

62954HBA5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 62954HBA5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 62954HBA5 bond have on its future price. 62954HBA5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 62954HBA5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 62954HBA5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NXPI 25 11 MAY 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 62954HBA5 Bond

62954HBA5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 62954HBA5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 62954HBA5 with respect to the benefits of owning 62954HBA5 security.