NESNVX 125 15 SEP 30 Market Value

641062AT1   80.26  2.63  3.17%   
NESNVX's market value is the price at which a share of NESNVX trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NESNVX 125 15 SEP 30 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NESNVX 125 15 SEP 30 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NESNVX over a given investment horizon.
Check out NESNVX Correlation, NESNVX Volatility and NESNVX Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NESNVX.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NESNVX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NESNVX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NESNVX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NESNVX 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NESNVX's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NESNVX.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NESNVX on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NESNVX 125 15 SEP 30 or generate 0.0% return on investment in NESNVX over 30 days. NESNVX is related to or competes with Kinetik Holdings, WEC Energy, Vistra Energy, Thor Industries, and PGE Corp. More

NESNVX Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NESNVX's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NESNVX 125 15 SEP 30 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NESNVX Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NESNVX's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NESNVX's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NESNVX historical prices to predict the future NESNVX's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.4980.2681.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.2381.1781.94
Details

NESNVX 125 15 Backtested Returns

NESNVX 125 15 has Sharpe Ratio of -0.29, which conveys that the entity had a -0.29% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. NESNVX exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NESNVX's insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance, mean deviation of 0.4725, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0745 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.22, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NESNVX are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NESNVX is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -1  

Near perfect reversele predictability

NESNVX 125 15 SEP 30 has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NESNVX time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NESNVX 125 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -1.0 indicates that 100.0% of current NESNVX price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-1.0
Spearman Rank Test-1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

NESNVX 125 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NESNVX bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NESNVX's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NESNVX returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NESNVX has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NESNVX regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NESNVX bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NESNVX bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NESNVX bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NESNVX Lagged Returns

When evaluating NESNVX's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NESNVX bond have on its future price. NESNVX autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NESNVX autocorrelation shows the relationship between NESNVX bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NESNVX 125 15 SEP 30.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in NESNVX Bond

NESNVX financial ratios help investors to determine whether NESNVX Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NESNVX with respect to the benefits of owning NESNVX security.