NOVANT 2637 01 NOV 36 Market Value

66988AAG9   70.65  6.90  8.90%   
NOVANT's market value is the price at which a share of NOVANT trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NOVANT 2637 01 NOV 36 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NOVANT 2637 01 NOV 36 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NOVANT over a given investment horizon.
Check out NOVANT Correlation, NOVANT Volatility and NOVANT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NOVANT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NOVANT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NOVANT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NOVANT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NOVANT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NOVANT's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NOVANT.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 25 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NOVANT on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NOVANT 2637 01 NOV 36 or generate 0.0% return on investment in NOVANT over 480 days. NOVANT is related to or competes with Perseus Mining, Jabil Circuit, Summit Materials, Vindicator Silver, Emerson Radio, and Allient. More

NOVANT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NOVANT's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NOVANT 2637 01 NOV 36 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NOVANT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NOVANT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NOVANT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NOVANT historical prices to predict the future NOVANT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.4170.6574.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.4161.6577.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.4470.6974.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.8072.2176.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NOVANT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NOVANT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NOVANT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NOVANT 2637 01.

NOVANT 2637 01 Backtested Returns

NOVANT 2637 01 has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0424, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0424% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. NOVANT exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NOVANT's Mean Deviation of 1.28, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2182, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.33, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NOVANT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NOVANT is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

NOVANT 2637 01 NOV 36 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NOVANT time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NOVANT 2637 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current NOVANT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.48

NOVANT 2637 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NOVANT bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NOVANT's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NOVANT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NOVANT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NOVANT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NOVANT bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NOVANT bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NOVANT bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NOVANT Lagged Returns

When evaluating NOVANT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NOVANT bond have on its future price. NOVANT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NOVANT autocorrelation shows the relationship between NOVANT bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NOVANT 2637 01 NOV 36.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in NOVANT Bond

NOVANT financial ratios help investors to determine whether NOVANT Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NOVANT with respect to the benefits of owning NOVANT security.