ONE GAS INC Market Value

68235PAF5   92.44  4.65  5.30%   
68235PAF5's market value is the price at which a share of 68235PAF5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ONE GAS INC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ONE GAS INC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 68235PAF5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 68235PAF5 Correlation, 68235PAF5 Volatility and 68235PAF5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 68235PAF5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 68235PAF5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 68235PAF5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 68235PAF5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

68235PAF5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 68235PAF5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 68235PAF5.
0.00
01/01/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 68235PAF5 on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ONE GAS INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in 68235PAF5 over 30 days. 68235PAF5 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Albertsons Companies, Innovation Beverage, Cardinal Health, Kaival Brands, and Synopsys. More

68235PAF5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 68235PAF5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ONE GAS INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

68235PAF5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 68235PAF5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 68235PAF5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 68235PAF5 historical prices to predict the future 68235PAF5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.9092.4493.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.1975.73101.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.0694.6096.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.4989.6293.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 68235PAF5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 68235PAF5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 68235PAF5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ONE GAS INC.

ONE GAS INC Backtested Returns

ONE GAS INC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0134, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0134 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. ONE GAS INC exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 68235PAF5's Standard Deviation of 1.31, mean deviation of 0.8724, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3468 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0346, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 68235PAF5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 68235PAF5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.1  

Very weak reverse predictability

ONE GAS INC has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 68235PAF5 time series from 1st of January 2025 to 16th of January 2025 and 16th of January 2025 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ONE GAS INC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current 68235PAF5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.57

ONE GAS INC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 68235PAF5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 68235PAF5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 68235PAF5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 68235PAF5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

68235PAF5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 68235PAF5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 68235PAF5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 68235PAF5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

68235PAF5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 68235PAF5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 68235PAF5 bond have on its future price. 68235PAF5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 68235PAF5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 68235PAF5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ONE GAS INC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 68235PAF5 Bond

68235PAF5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 68235PAF5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 68235PAF5 with respect to the benefits of owning 68235PAF5 security.