1011778 BC 3875 Market Value

68245XAH2   94.04  1.08  1.14%   
1011778's market value is the price at which a share of 1011778 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of 1011778 BC 3875 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of 1011778 BC 3875 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 1011778 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 1011778 Correlation, 1011778 Volatility and 1011778 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 1011778.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 1011778's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1011778 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1011778's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

1011778 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 1011778's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 1011778.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 1011778 on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 1011778 BC 3875 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 1011778 over 510 days. 1011778 is related to or competes with AerSale Corp, Asure Software, Arrow Electronics, BioNTech, Finnair Oyj, Senmiao Technology, and Meiwu Technology. More

1011778 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 1011778's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 1011778 BC 3875 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

1011778 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 1011778's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 1011778's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 1011778 historical prices to predict the future 1011778's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.7494.0494.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.3593.65103.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1011778. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1011778's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1011778's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1011778 BC 3875.

1011778 BC 3875 Backtested Returns

1011778 BC 3875 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0925, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0925% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 1011778 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 1011778's Information Ratio of (0.14), variance of 1.13, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3463 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0967, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 1011778 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 1011778 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

1011778 BC 3875 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 1011778 time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 1011778 BC 3875 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current 1011778 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.74

1011778 BC 3875 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 1011778 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 1011778's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 1011778 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 1011778 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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1011778 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 1011778 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 1011778 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 1011778 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

1011778 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 1011778's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 1011778 bond have on its future price. 1011778 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 1011778 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 1011778 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in 1011778 BC 3875.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 1011778 Bond

1011778 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1011778 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1011778 with respect to the benefits of owning 1011778 security.