ORACLE P 43 Market Value

68389XAV7   89.38  4.40  4.69%   
ORACLE's market value is the price at which a share of ORACLE trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ORACLE P 43 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ORACLE P 43 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ORACLE over a given investment horizon.
Check out ORACLE Correlation, ORACLE Volatility and ORACLE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ORACLE.
For information on how to trade ORACLE Bond refer to our How to Trade ORACLE Bond guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ORACLE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ORACLE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ORACLE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ORACLE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ORACLE's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ORACLE.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ORACLE on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ORACLE P 43 or generate 0.0% return on investment in ORACLE over 30 days. ORACLE is related to or competes with Kaiser Aluminum, Maanshan Iron, Grupo Aeroportuario, Mayfair Gold, United States, and HF Sinclair. More

ORACLE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ORACLE's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ORACLE P 43 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ORACLE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ORACLE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ORACLE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ORACLE historical prices to predict the future ORACLE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.6893.7894.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.7288.82103.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ORACLE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ORACLE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ORACLE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ORACLE P 43.

ORACLE P 43 Backtested Returns

ORACLE P 43 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which implies the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ORACLE exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check ORACLE's coefficient of variation of (1,885), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.6262 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.15, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ORACLE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ORACLE is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.31  

Below average predictability

ORACLE P 43 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ORACLE time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ORACLE P 43 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current ORACLE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.18

ORACLE P 43 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ORACLE bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ORACLE's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ORACLE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ORACLE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ORACLE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ORACLE bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ORACLE bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ORACLE bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ORACLE Lagged Returns

When evaluating ORACLE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ORACLE bond have on its future price. ORACLE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ORACLE autocorrelation shows the relationship between ORACLE bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ORACLE P 43.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ORACLE Bond

ORACLE financial ratios help investors to determine whether ORACLE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ORACLE with respect to the benefits of owning ORACLE security.