PECO ENERGY 315 Market Value
| 693304AT4 | 94.80 4.03 4.08% |
| Symbol | 693304AT4 |
693304AT4 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 693304AT4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 693304AT4.
| 12/12/2022 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 693304AT4 on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PECO ENERGY 315 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 693304AT4 over 720 days. 693304AT4 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, International Business, Intel, Home Depot, Verizon Communications, and Boeing. More
693304AT4 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 693304AT4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PECO ENERGY 315 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.30) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4052 |
693304AT4 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 693304AT4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 693304AT4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 693304AT4 historical prices to predict the future 693304AT4's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 8.2 |
PECO ENERGY 315 Backtested Returns
PECO ENERGY 315 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 693304AT4 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 693304AT4's market risk adjusted performance of 8.21, and Information Ratio of (0.30) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0079, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 693304AT4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 693304AT4 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.38 |
Poor reverse predictability
PECO ENERGY 315 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 693304AT4 time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PECO ENERGY 315 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current 693304AT4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.43 |
PECO ENERGY 315 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 693304AT4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 693304AT4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 693304AT4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 693304AT4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
693304AT4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 693304AT4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 693304AT4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 693304AT4 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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693304AT4 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 693304AT4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 693304AT4 bond have on its future price. 693304AT4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 693304AT4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 693304AT4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PECO ENERGY 315.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 693304AT4 Bond
693304AT4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 693304AT4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 693304AT4 with respect to the benefits of owning 693304AT4 security.