US70137WAG33 Market Value

70137WAG3   93.84  0.61  0.65%   
70137WAG3's market value is the price at which a share of 70137WAG3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US70137WAG33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US70137WAG33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 70137WAG3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 70137WAG3 Correlation, 70137WAG3 Volatility and 70137WAG3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 70137WAG3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 70137WAG3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 70137WAG3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 70137WAG3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

70137WAG3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 70137WAG3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 70137WAG3.
0.00
02/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 27 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 70137WAG3 on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US70137WAG33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 70137WAG3 over 270 days. 70137WAG3 is related to or competes with Coca Cola, JPMorgan Chase, Dupont De, Alcoa Corp, Boeing, Microsoft, and Procter Gamble. More

70137WAG3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 70137WAG3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US70137WAG33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

70137WAG3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 70137WAG3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 70137WAG3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 70137WAG3 historical prices to predict the future 70137WAG3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.5893.8494.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.4893.7494.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.5493.8094.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.3693.1995.02
Details

US70137WAG33 Backtested Returns

US70137WAG33 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.069, which signifies that the bond had a -0.069% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 70137WAG3 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 70137WAG3's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), coefficient of variation of (4,143), and Variance of 0.1605 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0684, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 70137WAG3's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 70137WAG3 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

US70137WAG33 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 70137WAG3 time series from 29th of February 2024 to 13th of July 2024 and 13th of July 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US70137WAG33 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current 70137WAG3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.57

US70137WAG33 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 70137WAG3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 70137WAG3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 70137WAG3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 70137WAG3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

70137WAG3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 70137WAG3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 70137WAG3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 70137WAG3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

70137WAG3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 70137WAG3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 70137WAG3 bond have on its future price. 70137WAG3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 70137WAG3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 70137WAG3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US70137WAG33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 70137WAG3 Bond

70137WAG3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 70137WAG3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 70137WAG3 with respect to the benefits of owning 70137WAG3 security.