ADT Corp 4875 Market Value

74166NAA2   85.56  7.44  8.00%   
74166NAA2's market value is the price at which a share of 74166NAA2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ADT Corp 4875 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ADT Corp 4875 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 74166NAA2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 74166NAA2 Correlation, 74166NAA2 Volatility and 74166NAA2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 74166NAA2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 74166NAA2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 74166NAA2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 74166NAA2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

74166NAA2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 74166NAA2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 74166NAA2.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 74166NAA2 on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ADT Corp 4875 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 74166NAA2 over 30 days. 74166NAA2 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Nasdaq, Vertiv Holdings, American Express, Intel, and Pfizer. More

74166NAA2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 74166NAA2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ADT Corp 4875 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

74166NAA2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 74166NAA2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 74166NAA2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 74166NAA2 historical prices to predict the future 74166NAA2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.1485.5686.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.7564.1794.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.4184.8386.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.6688.3193.96
Details

ADT Corp 4875 Backtested Returns

ADT Corp 4875 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0408, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0408% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. ADT Corp 4875 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 74166NAA2's Coefficient Of Variation of (782.99), mean deviation of 0.6336, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0322, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 74166NAA2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 74166NAA2 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

ADT Corp 4875 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 74166NAA2 time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ADT Corp 4875 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current 74166NAA2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.25

ADT Corp 4875 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 74166NAA2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 74166NAA2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 74166NAA2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 74166NAA2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

74166NAA2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 74166NAA2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 74166NAA2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 74166NAA2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

74166NAA2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 74166NAA2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 74166NAA2 bond have on its future price. 74166NAA2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 74166NAA2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 74166NAA2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ADT Corp 4875.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 74166NAA2 Bond

74166NAA2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 74166NAA2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 74166NAA2 with respect to the benefits of owning 74166NAA2 security.