PG 23 01 FEB 32 Market Value

742718FW4   87.72  0.16  0.18%   
742718FW4's market value is the price at which a share of 742718FW4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PG 23 01 FEB 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PG 23 01 FEB 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 742718FW4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 742718FW4 Correlation, 742718FW4 Volatility and 742718FW4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 742718FW4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 742718FW4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 742718FW4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 742718FW4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

742718FW4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 742718FW4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 742718FW4.
0.00
01/29/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/28/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 742718FW4 on January 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PG 23 01 FEB 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 742718FW4 over 30 days. 742718FW4 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, IShares Global, Exxon, Johnson Johnson, 3M, Cisco Systems, and JPMorgan Chase. More

742718FW4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 742718FW4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PG 23 01 FEB 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

742718FW4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 742718FW4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 742718FW4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 742718FW4 historical prices to predict the future 742718FW4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.1287.7288.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.1187.7188.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.9589.5590.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.9687.0289.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 742718FW4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 742718FW4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 742718FW4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 742718FW4.

742718FW4 Backtested Returns

At this point, 742718FW4 is very steady. 742718FW4 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0845, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0845 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for 742718FW4, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 742718FW4's market risk adjusted performance of 0.1398, and Standard Deviation of 0.6823 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0507%. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 742718FW4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 742718FW4 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.38  

Poor reverse predictability

PG 23 01 FEB 32 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 742718FW4 time series from 29th of January 2025 to 13th of February 2025 and 13th of February 2025 to 28th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 742718FW4 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current 742718FW4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.38
742718FW4 Returns742718FW4 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away742718FW4 Returns742718FW4 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

742718FW4 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 742718FW4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 742718FW4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 742718FW4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 742718FW4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15210022002300240025002600270028002900300031000%1%2%3%4%5% 1
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

742718FW4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 742718FW4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 742718FW4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 742718FW4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152100220023002400250026002700280029003000310086.086.587.087.588.088.5
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

742718FW4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 742718FW4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 742718FW4 bond have on its future price. 742718FW4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 742718FW4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 742718FW4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PG 23 01 FEB 32.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15210022002300240025002600270028002900300031008687888990
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 742718FW4 Bond

742718FW4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 742718FW4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 742718FW4 with respect to the benefits of owning 742718FW4 security.
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