TRGP 495 15 APR 52 Market Value

87612GAB7   77.25  9.77  11.23%   
87612GAB7's market value is the price at which a share of 87612GAB7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TRGP 495 15 APR 52 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TRGP 495 15 APR 52 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 87612GAB7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 87612GAB7 Correlation, 87612GAB7 Volatility and 87612GAB7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 87612GAB7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 87612GAB7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 87612GAB7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 87612GAB7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

87612GAB7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 87612GAB7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 87612GAB7.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 87612GAB7 on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TRGP 495 15 APR 52 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 87612GAB7 over 510 days. 87612GAB7 is related to or competes with AKITA Drilling, Nabors Industries, Tenaris SA, Relx PLC, Udemy, SNDL, and Marfrig Global. More

87612GAB7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 87612GAB7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TRGP 495 15 APR 52 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

87612GAB7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 87612GAB7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 87612GAB7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 87612GAB7 historical prices to predict the future 87612GAB7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.1777.2579.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.8164.8984.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.4777.5579.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.5282.2388.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 87612GAB7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 87612GAB7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 87612GAB7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TRGP 495 15.

TRGP 495 15 Backtested Returns

TRGP 495 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0369, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0369% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. TRGP 495 15 APR 52 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 87612GAB7's Variance of 7.62, coefficient of variation of (1,604), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 87612GAB7's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 87612GAB7 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

TRGP 495 15 APR 52 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 87612GAB7 time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TRGP 495 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current 87612GAB7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.23

TRGP 495 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 87612GAB7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 87612GAB7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 87612GAB7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 87612GAB7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

87612GAB7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 87612GAB7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 87612GAB7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 87612GAB7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

87612GAB7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 87612GAB7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 87612GAB7 bond have on its future price. 87612GAB7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 87612GAB7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 87612GAB7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TRGP 495 15 APR 52.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 87612GAB7 Bond

87612GAB7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 87612GAB7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 87612GAB7 with respect to the benefits of owning 87612GAB7 security.