3M 3625 percent Market Value

88579YBC4   94.84  1.55  1.61%   
88579YBC4's market value is the price at which a share of 88579YBC4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of 3M 3625 percent investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of 3M 3625 percent and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 88579YBC4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 88579YBC4 Correlation, 88579YBC4 Volatility and 88579YBC4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 88579YBC4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 88579YBC4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 88579YBC4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 88579YBC4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

88579YBC4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 88579YBC4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 88579YBC4.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 88579YBC4 on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 3M 3625 percent or generate 0.0% return on investment in 88579YBC4 over 720 days. 88579YBC4 is related to or competes with Mattel, Postal Realty, JD Sports, Eastern, Acco Brands, Emerson Radio, and Universal Display. More

88579YBC4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 88579YBC4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 3M 3625 percent upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

88579YBC4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 88579YBC4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 88579YBC4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 88579YBC4 historical prices to predict the future 88579YBC4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.4894.8495.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.6194.9795.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.1195.4695.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.0694.7795.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 88579YBC4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 88579YBC4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 88579YBC4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 3M 3625 percent.

3M 3625 percent Backtested Returns

3M 3625 percent retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 88579YBC4 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 88579YBC4's Variance of 0.6269, market risk adjusted performance of (1.16), and Information Ratio of (0.22) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0458, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 88579YBC4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 88579YBC4 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.71  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

3M 3625 percent has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 88579YBC4 time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 3M 3625 percent price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current 88579YBC4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.71
Spearman Rank Test-0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.1

3M 3625 percent lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 88579YBC4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 88579YBC4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 88579YBC4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 88579YBC4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

88579YBC4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 88579YBC4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 88579YBC4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 88579YBC4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

88579YBC4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 88579YBC4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 88579YBC4 bond have on its future price. 88579YBC4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 88579YBC4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 88579YBC4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in 3M 3625 percent.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 88579YBC4 Bond

88579YBC4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 88579YBC4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 88579YBC4 with respect to the benefits of owning 88579YBC4 security.