TOTAL CAP 3883 Market Value

89152UAH5   97.84  0.20  0.20%   
TOTAL's market value is the price at which a share of TOTAL trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TOTAL CAP 3883 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TOTAL CAP 3883 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in TOTAL over a given investment horizon.
Check out TOTAL Correlation, TOTAL Volatility and TOTAL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TOTAL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between TOTAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TOTAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TOTAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

TOTAL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TOTAL's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TOTAL.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in TOTAL on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TOTAL CAP 3883 or generate 0.0% return on investment in TOTAL over 30 days. TOTAL is related to or competes with Kandi Technologies, Payoneer Global, Asure Software, Reservoir Media, BCE, Lipocine, and Tesla. More

TOTAL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TOTAL's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TOTAL CAP 3883 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

TOTAL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TOTAL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TOTAL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TOTAL historical prices to predict the future TOTAL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.6397.8498.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.1187.32107.62
Details

TOTAL CAP 3883 Backtested Returns

TOTAL CAP 3883 owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0566, which indicates the bond had a -0.0566% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. TOTAL CAP 3883 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TOTAL's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 1.3 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0265, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TOTAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TOTAL is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.13  

Insignificant predictability

TOTAL CAP 3883 has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TOTAL time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TOTAL CAP 3883 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current TOTAL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.13
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

TOTAL CAP 3883 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is TOTAL bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TOTAL's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TOTAL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TOTAL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

TOTAL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TOTAL bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TOTAL bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TOTAL bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

TOTAL Lagged Returns

When evaluating TOTAL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TOTAL bond have on its future price. TOTAL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TOTAL autocorrelation shows the relationship between TOTAL bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TOTAL CAP 3883.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in TOTAL Bond

TOTAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOTAL Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOTAL with respect to the benefits of owning TOTAL security.