TRAVELERS INC 46 Market Value
| 89417EAJ8 | 94.41 4.31 4.78% |
| Symbol | TRAVELERS |
TRAVELERS 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TRAVELERS's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TRAVELERS.
| 06/04/2023 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TRAVELERS on June 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TRAVELERS INC 46 or generate 0.0% return on investment in TRAVELERS over 540 days. TRAVELERS is related to or competes with Eastman Chemical, Awilco Drilling, Sensient Technologies, Avient Corp, Seadrill, CF Industries, and Origin Materials. More
TRAVELERS Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TRAVELERS's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TRAVELERS INC 46 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.80) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.1 |
TRAVELERS Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TRAVELERS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TRAVELERS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TRAVELERS historical prices to predict the future TRAVELERS's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0377 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0116 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1639 |
TRAVELERS INC 46 Backtested Returns
At this point, TRAVELERS is very steady. TRAVELERS INC 46 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0051, which indicates the bond had a 0.0051% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for TRAVELERS, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the bond. Please validate TRAVELERS's downside deviation of 1.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0377 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0068%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.27, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, TRAVELERS's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TRAVELERS is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.28 |
Poor predictability
TRAVELERS INC 46 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TRAVELERS time series from 4th of June 2023 to 29th of February 2024 and 29th of February 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TRAVELERS INC 46 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current TRAVELERS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.64 |
TRAVELERS INC 46 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TRAVELERS bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TRAVELERS's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TRAVELERS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TRAVELERS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
TRAVELERS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TRAVELERS bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TRAVELERS bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TRAVELERS bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
TRAVELERS Lagged Returns
When evaluating TRAVELERS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TRAVELERS bond have on its future price. TRAVELERS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TRAVELERS autocorrelation shows the relationship between TRAVELERS bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TRAVELERS INC 46.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in TRAVELERS Bond
TRAVELERS financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRAVELERS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRAVELERS with respect to the benefits of owning TRAVELERS security.