UBS 4703 05 AUG 27 Market Value

902613AS7   96.47  3.11  3.12%   
902613AS7's market value is the price at which a share of 902613AS7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of UBS 4703 05 AUG 27 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of UBS 4703 05 AUG 27 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 902613AS7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 902613AS7 Correlation, 902613AS7 Volatility and 902613AS7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 902613AS7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 902613AS7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 902613AS7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 902613AS7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

902613AS7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 902613AS7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 902613AS7.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 902613AS7 on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding UBS 4703 05 AUG 27 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 902613AS7 over 720 days. 902613AS7 is related to or competes with Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, Waters, Vishay Intertechnology, RadNet, Entegris, Viemed Healthcare, and Everspin Technologies. More

902613AS7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 902613AS7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess UBS 4703 05 AUG 27 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

902613AS7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 902613AS7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 902613AS7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 902613AS7 historical prices to predict the future 902613AS7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.0396.4796.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.8297.4097.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.1995.6396.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.1798.68101.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 902613AS7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 902613AS7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 902613AS7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UBS 4703 05.

UBS 4703 05 Backtested Returns

UBS 4703 05 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the bond had a -0.15% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. UBS 4703 05 AUG 27 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 902613AS7's risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,284) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0257, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 902613AS7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 902613AS7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.31  

Poor reverse predictability

UBS 4703 05 AUG 27 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 902613AS7 time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of UBS 4703 05 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current 902613AS7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.31
Spearman Rank Test-0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.7

UBS 4703 05 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 902613AS7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 902613AS7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 902613AS7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 902613AS7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

902613AS7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 902613AS7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 902613AS7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 902613AS7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

902613AS7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 902613AS7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 902613AS7 bond have on its future price. 902613AS7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 902613AS7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 902613AS7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in UBS 4703 05 AUG 27.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 902613AS7 Bond

902613AS7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 902613AS7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 902613AS7 with respect to the benefits of owning 902613AS7 security.