VNT 295 01 APR 31 Market Value

928881AF8   76.35  11.07  12.66%   
928881AF8's market value is the price at which a share of 928881AF8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VNT 295 01 APR 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VNT 295 01 APR 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 928881AF8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 928881AF8 Correlation, 928881AF8 Volatility and 928881AF8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 928881AF8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 928881AF8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 928881AF8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 928881AF8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

928881AF8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 928881AF8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 928881AF8.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 928881AF8 on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VNT 295 01 APR 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 928881AF8 over 720 days. 928881AF8 is related to or competes with Ryanair Holdings, Aegean Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Marchex, and Air Transport. More

928881AF8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 928881AF8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VNT 295 01 APR 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

928881AF8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 928881AF8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 928881AF8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 928881AF8 historical prices to predict the future 928881AF8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.6876.3578.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.2364.9083.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.2975.9777.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.5383.5192.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 928881AF8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 928881AF8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 928881AF8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VNT 295 01.

VNT 295 01 Backtested Returns

VNT 295 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. VNT 295 01 APR 31 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 928881AF8's coefficient of variation of (1,852), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0084, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 928881AF8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 928881AF8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

VNT 295 01 APR 31 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 928881AF8 time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VNT 295 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current 928881AF8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.1

VNT 295 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 928881AF8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 928881AF8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 928881AF8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 928881AF8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

928881AF8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 928881AF8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 928881AF8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 928881AF8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

928881AF8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 928881AF8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 928881AF8 bond have on its future price. 928881AF8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 928881AF8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 928881AF8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VNT 295 01 APR 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 928881AF8 Bond

928881AF8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 928881AF8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 928881AF8 with respect to the benefits of owning 928881AF8 security.