VULCAN MATLS 47 Market Value

929160AY5   88.30  1.41  1.57%   
VULCAN's market value is the price at which a share of VULCAN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VULCAN MATLS 47 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VULCAN MATLS 47 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VULCAN over a given investment horizon.
Check out VULCAN Correlation, VULCAN Volatility and VULCAN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VULCAN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between VULCAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VULCAN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VULCAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

VULCAN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VULCAN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VULCAN.
0.00
05/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in VULCAN on May 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VULCAN MATLS 47 or generate 0.0% return on investment in VULCAN over 180 days. VULCAN is related to or competes with Mativ Holdings, Nyxoah, Acco Brands, Weyco, and Virco Manufacturing. More

VULCAN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VULCAN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VULCAN MATLS 47 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VULCAN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VULCAN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VULCAN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VULCAN historical prices to predict the future VULCAN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.4589.7190.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.1755.4398.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VULCAN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VULCAN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VULCAN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VULCAN MATLS 47.

VULCAN MATLS 47 Backtested Returns

VULCAN MATLS 47 owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which indicates the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. VULCAN MATLS 47 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate VULCAN's variance of 1.89, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning VULCAN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, VULCAN is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.12  

Insignificant reverse predictability

VULCAN MATLS 47 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VULCAN time series from 30th of May 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VULCAN MATLS 47 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current VULCAN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.12
Spearman Rank Test-0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.41

VULCAN MATLS 47 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VULCAN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VULCAN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VULCAN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VULCAN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

VULCAN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VULCAN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VULCAN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VULCAN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

VULCAN Lagged Returns

When evaluating VULCAN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VULCAN bond have on its future price. VULCAN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VULCAN autocorrelation shows the relationship between VULCAN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VULCAN MATLS 47.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in VULCAN Bond

VULCAN financial ratios help investors to determine whether VULCAN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VULCAN with respect to the benefits of owning VULCAN security.