WPC 225 01 APR 33 Market Value

92936UAH2   78.12  1.75  2.19%   
92936UAH2's market value is the price at which a share of 92936UAH2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of WPC 225 01 APR 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of WPC 225 01 APR 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 92936UAH2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 92936UAH2 Correlation, 92936UAH2 Volatility and 92936UAH2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 92936UAH2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 92936UAH2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 92936UAH2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 92936UAH2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

92936UAH2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 92936UAH2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 92936UAH2.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 92936UAH2 on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding WPC 225 01 APR 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 92936UAH2 over 720 days. 92936UAH2 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

92936UAH2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 92936UAH2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess WPC 225 01 APR 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

92936UAH2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 92936UAH2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 92936UAH2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 92936UAH2 historical prices to predict the future 92936UAH2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.0878.1279.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.1265.1685.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.9875.0276.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.2379.7885.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 92936UAH2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 92936UAH2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 92936UAH2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in WPC 225 01.

WPC 225 01 Backtested Returns

WPC 225 01 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.23, which signifies that the bond had a -0.23% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 92936UAH2 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 92936UAH2's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0282, semi deviation of 2.27, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3573.04 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 92936UAH2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 92936UAH2 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

WPC 225 01 APR 33 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 92936UAH2 time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of WPC 225 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current 92936UAH2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.42

WPC 225 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 92936UAH2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 92936UAH2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 92936UAH2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 92936UAH2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

92936UAH2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 92936UAH2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 92936UAH2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 92936UAH2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

92936UAH2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 92936UAH2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 92936UAH2 bond have on its future price. 92936UAH2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 92936UAH2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 92936UAH2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in WPC 225 01 APR 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 92936UAH2 Bond

92936UAH2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 92936UAH2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 92936UAH2 with respect to the benefits of owning 92936UAH2 security.