United Utilities Group Stock Market Value

UUGRY Stock  USD 28.45  0.15  0.53%   
United Utilities' market value is the price at which a share of United Utilities trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of United Utilities Group investors about its performance. United Utilities is trading at 28.45 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.53% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 28.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of United Utilities Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in United Utilities over a given investment horizon. Check out United Utilities Correlation, United Utilities Volatility and United Utilities Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on United Utilities.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between United Utilities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Utilities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Utilities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

United Utilities 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United Utilities' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United Utilities.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in United Utilities on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Utilities Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in United Utilities over 30 days. United Utilities is related to or competes with American Water, Middlesex Water, SJW Group, California Water, York Water, Consolidated Water, and American States. United Utilities Group PLC provides water and wastewater services in the United Kingdom More

United Utilities Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United Utilities' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Utilities Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

United Utilities Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Utilities' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United Utilities' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United Utilities historical prices to predict the future United Utilities' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9828.2829.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6327.9329.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.9029.2030.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.4727.5328.60
Details

United Utilities Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider United Pink Sheet to be very steady. United Utilities owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0998, which indicates the firm had a 0.0998% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for United Utilities Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate United Utilities' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0964, semi deviation of 1.09, and Coefficient Of Variation of 830.63 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. United Utilities has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.19, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, United Utilities' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Utilities is expected to be smaller as well. United Utilities right now has a risk of 1.3%. Please validate United Utilities maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if United Utilities will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.15  

Insignificant predictability

United Utilities Group has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United Utilities time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current United Utilities price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.15
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.31

United Utilities lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is United Utilities pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting United Utilities' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of United Utilities returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that United Utilities has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

United Utilities regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If United Utilities pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if United Utilities pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in United Utilities pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

United Utilities Lagged Returns

When evaluating United Utilities' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of United Utilities pink sheet have on its future price. United Utilities autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, United Utilities autocorrelation shows the relationship between United Utilities pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in United Utilities Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for United Pink Sheet Analysis

When running United Utilities' price analysis, check to measure United Utilities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Utilities is operating at the current time. Most of United Utilities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Utilities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Utilities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Utilities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.