Vela International Fund Market Value

VEITX Fund  USD 13.54  0.08  0.59%   
Vela International's market value is the price at which a share of Vela International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vela International investors about its performance. Vela International is trading at 13.54 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.59 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.46.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vela International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vela International over a given investment horizon. Check out Vela International Correlation, Vela International Volatility and Vela International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vela International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vela International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vela International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vela International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vela International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vela International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vela International.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vela International on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vela International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vela International over 720 days. Vela International is related to or competes with Vela Large, Vela Small, Vela Small, and Vela Income. The fund, under normal market conditions, invests its assets primarily in non-U.S More

Vela International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vela International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vela International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vela International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vela International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vela International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vela International historical prices to predict the future Vela International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vela International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8213.5414.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8813.6014.32
Details

Vela International Backtested Returns

Vela International owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0392, which indicates the fund had a -0.0392% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vela International exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vela International's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,506), risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Variance of 0.5664 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.28, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vela International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vela International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

Vela International has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vela International time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vela International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Vela International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.24

Vela International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vela International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vela International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vela International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vela International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vela International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vela International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vela International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vela International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vela International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vela International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vela International mutual fund have on its future price. Vela International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vela International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vela International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vela International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vela Mutual Fund

Vela International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vela Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vela with respect to the benefits of owning Vela International security.
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