Vanguard Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

VEMBX Fund  USD 10.21  0.02  0.20%   
Vanguard Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Vanguard Emerging is trading at 10.21 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.2 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.23.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Emerging Correlation, Vanguard Emerging Volatility and Vanguard Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Emerging.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Emerging on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Emerging over 720 days. Vanguard Emerging is related to or competes with Fidelity New, Fidelity New, Fidelity New, Fidelity New, Mfs Emerging, and Mfs Emerging. The fund invests in fixed income securities of various maturities, yields, and qualities More

Vanguard Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Emerging historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9410.2110.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9310.2010.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9610.2310.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0610.1610.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Emerging Markets.

Vanguard Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Emerging Markets owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.071, which indicates the fund had a 0.071% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Emerging Markets, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Emerging's Coefficient Of Variation of 1560.18, semi deviation of 0.1594, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0297 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0188%. The entity has a beta of 0.0112, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Vanguard Emerging Markets has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Emerging time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Vanguard Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Vanguard Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Emerging security.
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