Vanguard Energy Fund Market Value
| VGELX Fund | USD 83.65 0.96 1.16% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Energy's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Energy.
| 09/03/2024 |
| 01/31/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Energy on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Energy Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Energy over 150 days. Vanguard Energy is related to or competes with Vanguard Health, Vanguard Global, Vanguard Energy, Vanguard Energy, and Vanguard Emerging. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in the common stocks of companies princip... More
Vanguard Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Energy's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Energy Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.01 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.60) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.16 |
Vanguard Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Energy historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.30) |
Vanguard Energy Backtested Returns
Vanguard Energy owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0971, which indicates the fund had a -0.0971 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Energy Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Energy's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), variance of 2.09, and Coefficient Of Variation of (913.63) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.56, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Energy is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.58 |
Good reverse predictability
Vanguard Energy Fund has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Energy time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Vanguard Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.58 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.27 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 28.25 |
Vanguard Energy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Energy mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Energy's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Energy mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Energy mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Energy mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Energy mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Energy mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Energy Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Energy security.
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